National Journal Online:
- No candidate this far back two weeks out has ever won.
- Early voting is going strong and even if something big happens, those votes are already cast.
- The Democrats have a 10% advantage in party registration; in 2004 it was even.
- Obama is outspending McCain 4 to 1 in many states.
- There is no evidence for the so-called Bradley effect in the past 15 years.
- Obama is safe in all the Kerry states and ahead in half a dozen states Bush won.
Two polls show Palin now a bigger drag on McCain than even the worst president in history - GW Bush. In a new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll, 55% say Palin is not qualified to serve as president, a five-point jump from the previous NBC/WSJ survey. For the first time, more voters have a negative opinion of her than a positive one. In the survey, 47% view her negatively, versus 38% who see her positively.
CNN reports McCain is dragging down GOP Congressmen up for reelection. Of the four cliff hanger Senate races in GA, KY, MN and MS, the Democrats need to win just 2 of the 4 and hold all others to win a 60 seat super majority.
Al Qaeda endorses McCain. The message, posted Monday on the al-Hesbah Web site, said if al-Qaida wants to exhaust the United States militarily and economically, "impetuous" Sen. John McCain is the better choice because he is more likely to continue the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.
Obama had $134 million in the bank at the start of October. McCain had $47 million. Obama is continuing to pull in $5 million a day during October, which will increase his financial edge even more during the final two weeks.
The RNC shelled out $150,000 for Palin's clothes. Trying to paint lipstick on a pig... how do you think this will go over with Joe the Plumber and the working class? Palin also charged her state over $21,000 for her children to travel with her, including to events where they were not invited, and later amended expense reports to specify that they were on official business when they were actually extended vacations in luxury hotels.
We now know who the winners are, here are the losers that support McCain: Evangelicals 76% to 20%, small town/rural voters 53% to 40%, and those living in the South 54% to 40%.
As I said previously, some people have earned an ass kicking.